Transforming the Global Narrative: Trump-Xi Summit – The Cipher Brief

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will meet in May. They will discuss a number of issues that divide them, including economic and trade issues. They should also discuss conflict resolution between the U.S. and China, Taiwan and the South China Sea, and the hotline between their military leaders.

In wake of Iran war, Chinese manufacturers recalibrate overseas expansion plans

Lawrence Wong's toy factory in Vietnam has been put on hold because of the war in Iran and rising production costs. Many Chinese firms are rethinking their short-term strategies and adapting to mounting pressures stemming from rising costs and slowing growth across major economies.

China's economy surprises with Q1 growth, shrugs off war impact

China's economy grew 5% from a year earlier in the first quarter of this year, up from 4.5% in the October-December quarter. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the economy grew 1.3%, the fastest pace in a year. Industrial output rose 5.7% in March year-over-year, better than market expectations.

Is China a winner of the Iran war or facing economic risks?

China's economy grew by 5% in the first quarter, beating expectations. Beijing is investing heavily in high-tech industries and green energy. The conflict between the US, Israel and Iran disrupts global energy markets, but Beijing is more insulated than most as it already dominates global supply chains.

Analysts doubt Iran war will prompt China stimulus, tip ‘solid’ first-quarter GDP growth

The National Bureau of Statistics is due to release first-quarter GDP figures on Thursday. Standard Chartered predicts growth of 4.8% on the back of resilient trade and gradually improving consumption. The International Monetary Fund trimmed its growth forecast for China to 4.5%, down from 4.4%.

Exclusive: How Trump Has Redefined America’s Standing on World Stage Ahead of China Trip

Trump and Xi Jinping are going to meet in Beijing on May 14-15. The first year-plus of the Trump presidency has redefined global economic affairs and foreign policy. Trump has secured key trade deals, solved eight global conflicts through his peace through strength policies, and built the greatest military in the world.

China’s Taiwan Calculus Ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit

Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun met in Beijing last Friday. It was the first meeting of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and Kuomintang (KMT) leaders in a decade. The meeting took place on April 10, 2026, the 47th anniversary of the U.S. signing of the Taiwan Relations Act. Beijing's main goal for the Trump-Xi summit would be to sustain the fragile stability in China-U.S relations after both countries agreed on a truce in their trade war. A grand deal over Taiwan or a fundamental shift of Washington’s One China policy is unlikely.

China shock 2.0: should Europe repel Chinese investment?

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Yellen says ‘no alternative’ to dollar, urges US-China cooperation for sake of the world

Janet Yellen is speaking at the HSBC Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong. She believes the US and China should preserve their trade and investment relations. China's reliance on exports for growth has created "serious conflicts" with advanced economies. Yellen served as US Treasury secretary under the presidential administration of Joe Biden from 2021 to 2025.

Iran war; Q1 GDP growth; Qiushi; Foot and mouth disease

Wang Yi met with Italian Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani in Beijing today. Wang's mom is ill so he missed this week's Sharp China newsletter. Today's newsletter is a bit thin as it's a slow day near the end of a long week.

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