The AIER Business Conditions Monthly (BCM) highlights a notable divergence across the economic cycle. The February 2026 BCM readings point to a deterioration in forward and contemporaneous conditions. The Leading Indicator (46) signals fading momentum, with gains in select demand indicators overshadowed by declines in housing, expectations and market-based measures. The Roughly Coincident Indicator came in at 17.
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A compilation shared on X has brought together a string of bullish Bitcoin calls from banks, hedge fund managers, venture capitalists, and long-time crypto bulls, with estimates ranging from the low six figures to $500,000. Bitcoin has pushed back above $78,000 this week, Spot ETF flows have turned positive again, and futures open interest is now above $120 billion. Bitcoin is about 38% below the October 2025 all-time high of $126,080.
DeFi sector was the main focus of the 2021-2022 bull market. Money is moving out of DeFi protocols at an unprecedented rate. Bitcoin saw its TV jump 73.60% and Iron saw a 23.42% increase. The most recent hack of KelpDao made away with almost $300 million in loot.
Huffington Post reports on the real economy. Working Americans are feeling the squeeze of rising costs and sudden instability in the current economic climate. Already a member? Log in to hide these messages and you won't see this article. Â
On Apr. 21, Brent crude closed at $99.89, touched $102.16 intraday high, and Bitcoin rose 2.95% to $72,738.16. On the same day, the 10-year Treasury yield was 4.313%, and the 2-year yield was 3.802%, both higher on the session. A firmer dollar is a headwind for Bitcoin.
Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, testified before the Senate that Bitcoin has potential as a tool with cybersecurity and broader strategic applications. Sen. Tommy Tuberville framed US-China competition as a monetary contest and military competition. BPI's executive team has been pushing the national-security case for BTC in Washington.
Short liquidations in the past 7 days have exceeded the $1.6 billion threshold. Investors are turning to the exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to participate in the rally. They have received positive net inflows for 8 consecutive days. Open interest in the futures market has been steadily rising for two months.